Interpretable Statistical Models

Interpretable statistical models make their assumptions and relationships available for inspection.

Interpretability is not only a convenience for analysts. In consequential prediction settings, it can be a requirement for trust, review, and governance.

An interpretable model can help answer questions like:

  • Which factors are influencing the prediction?
  • How uncertain is the estimate?
  • Does the direction of an effect make sense to domain experts?
  • Which assumptions are doing the most work?
  • What happens when new observations arrive?

These models are especially useful when paired with domain knowledge and an explicit theory of the data generating process.

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